"Fiscal Surprises at the FOMC" with Simon van Norden (HEC Montreal). (FRBP 2017 working paper pdf) (newer version August 2018 pdf)
"Revisions to PCE Inflation" forthcoming, International Journal of Central Banking. (pdf)
"The Effect of Recessions on Fiscal and Monetary Policy" with Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy (Lehigh). (pdf)
"Teaching Courses in Macroeconomics and Monetary Policy with Bloomberg Analytics" with Hossein Kazemi (Stonehill). (pdf)
"Fiscal Forecasts at the FOMC: Evidence from the Greenbooks" with Simon van Norden (HEC Montreal). Forthcoming, Review of Economics and Statistics. (pdf)
“Do GDP Forecasts Respond Efficiently to Changes in Interest Rates?" with Katherine Marsten. (pdf)
“Analyzing Data Revisions in a Medium-Scale Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model" with Keith Sill (Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia). Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Working Paper 14-29. (pdf)
“U.S. Fiscal Policy: Ex Ante and Ex Post” with Simon van Norden (HEC Montreal). Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Working Paper 14-22. (pdf)
"Teaching an Economics Capstone Course Based on Current Issues in Monetary Policy," manuscript, May 2013. (pdf) Go to this web page for more information on this capstone course, including syllabus, planning document, readings, powerpoints, and rubrics.
"In-class Explorations of Macroeconomic Data," manuscript, coming soon. Go to this web page for more information on using the methods described in your class.
"Real-Time Uncertainty in Estimating Bias in Macroeconomic Forecasts," manuscript, March 2013. (pdf)
"RIDIT Analysis of Student Course Evaluations," manuscript, June 2010, currently under revision; joint with Bob Schmidt. (pdf)