"Improving Biased Forecasts in Real Time," manuscript, May 2025. (pdf)

"Can You Improve Upon the GDP Forecasts of Professional Forecasters Using Information About Monetary Policy?" manuscript, June 2025. (pdf)

TEACHING

"In-class Explorations of Macroeconomic Data." Go to this web page for more information on using the methods described in your class.

OLDER PAPERS

"Forecasting Consumption Spending with Credit Bureau Data" with Stephanie Wilshusen (Philadelphia Fed). FRBP wp 20-22, June 2020.