"Real-Time Uncertainty in Estimating Bias in Macroeconomic Forecasts," manuscript, September 2023. (pdf)

"Can You Improve Upon the GDP Forecasts of Professional Forecasters?" manuscript, July 2023. (pdf)

TEACHING

"In-class Explorations of Macroeconomic Data." Go to this web page for more information on using the methods described in your class.

OLDER PAPERS

"Forecasting Consumption Spending with Credit Bureau Data" with Stephanie Wilshusen (Philadelphia Fed). FRBP wp 20-22, June 2020.