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Timothy L. Hamilton
Associate Professor of Economics


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I am an associate professor in the Economics Department at the Robins School of Business, University of Richmond.

My primary area of research is nonmarket valuation in environmental economics, with a focus on hedonic modeling and residential sorting approaches to valuation. My research has examined questions related to air quality, land use, and the siting of noxious facilities.

Curriculum Vitae

Research

Published Papers (click for Abstract and .pdf)

The Amenity Value of Natural Views, with Erik Johnson, Real Estate Economics, 51 (2023), pp. 1079-1107.

Abstract: We estimate nonmarket values for natural views in an urban setting. These views contain the aesthetics of natural areas commonly found in public parks and open space, and offer an aspect of property valuation that previous research is unable to disentangle from proximity to parks and open space. We incorporate machine learning techniques on google street view images to identify natural views in an urban setting. We find positive capitalization rates associated with household views of park-like properties. Estimates are robust to a variety of specifications, including models that are identified off of new developments on neighboring properties and falsification tests that help to rule out the effect of a broader neighborhood environment. From a policy perspective, our results inform as to the optimal size, location, and shape of open space. Furthermore, machine learning methods used in the construction of our view variable provide a potentially powerful tool for other nonmarket valuation studies.


Siting Noxious Facilities: Efficiency in Majority Rule Decisions, with Amit Eynan, European Journal of Operational Research, 308 (2023), pp. 1344-1354.

Abstract: This paper analyzes the inefficiency of majority-rule voting in making siting decisions for noxious facilities, such as waste treatment facilities, landfills, or nuclear waste repositories. In particular, we demonstrate in a general context that a majority-rule voting process leads localities to make decisions that impose aggregate costs that are larger than aggregate benefits. We develop a robust model to establish the prevalence of such inefficiencies and demonstrate the mechanisms that exacerbate or mitigate them. The model illustrates how the spatial distribution of the population and the severity of disamenity costs can generate outcomes that make the entire locality worse off. Based on these properties, we provide a feasible remedy. Analysis of U.S. census data illustrates the magnitude of potential inefficiencies that arise with simple majority-rule decisions. Such losses can be mitigated using our model, which easily captures the aggregate disamenity cost and can consequently recommend the required voting supermajority to ensure efficiency.


Bicycle Infrastructure and Traffic Congestion: Evidence from DC's Capital Bikeshare, with Casey J. Wichman, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 87 (2018), pp. 72-93.

Abstract: This study explores the impact of bicycle-sharing infrastructure on urban transportation. We estimate a causal effect of the Capital Bikeshare on traffic congestion in the metropolitan Washington, D.C., area. We exploit a unique traffic dataset that is finely defined on a spatial and temporal scale. Our approach examines within-city commuting decisions as opposed to traffic patterns on major thruways. Empirical results suggest that the availability of a bikeshare reduces traffic congestion upwards of 4% within a neighborhood. In addition, we estimate heterogeneous treatment effects using panel quantile regression. Results indicate that the congestion-reducing impact of bikeshares is concentrated in highly congested areas.


Spatial Cost of Living Indices and the Distribution of Public Goods, Land Economics, 91 (2015), pp. 762-782.

Abstract: This paper develops cost of living (COL) indices that vary across space. While conventional indices adjust for differences in prices, the COL defined here also reflects access to public goods. This analysis relies on the structure of a residential sorting model to estimate the COL index for each of 226 metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) in 1990 and 2000 in the United States. empirical results show significant differences in the COL across the spatial landscape. This paper focuses on the Gini coefficient as a measure of inequality to demonstrate the distribution of public goods across the population.


An Integrated Model of Regional and Local Residential Sorting with Application to Air Quality , with Daniel J. Phaneuf, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 74 (2015), pp. 71-93.

Abstract: We examine the interconnectedness of demand for regionally and locally varying public goods using a residential sorting model. We propose a version of the model that describes household choices at the city (MSA) level and, conditional on city, the neighborhood (census tract) level. We use a two-stage budgeting argument to develop an empirically feasible sorting model that allows us to estimate preferences for regionally varying air quality while accounting for sorting at the local level. Our conceptual and empirical approach nests previous sorting models as special cases, allowing us to assess the importance of accounting for multiple spatial scales in our predictions for the cost of air pollution. Furthermore our preferred specification connects the city and neighborhood sorting margins to the upper and lower elements of a nested logit model, thereby establishing a useful correspondence between two stage budgeting and nested logit estimation. Empirically we find that estimates from a conventional model of sorting across MSAs imply a smaller marginal willingness to pay for air quality than estimates from our proposed model. We discuss how the difference is attributable in part to the omitted variable problems arising when tract level sorting is ignored.


Amenity Values of Proximity to National Wildlife Refuges: An Analysis of Urban Reidential Property Values , with Xiangping Liu, Laura O. Taylor, and Peter E. Grigelis, Ecological Economics, 94 (2013), pp. 37-43.

Abstract: This research quantifies the property value benefits of National Wildlife Refuges near urban areas on the eastern coast of the U.S.A. Our approach is made possible through access to confidential U.S. Census data identifying property values surrounding all refuges with high geographic resolution. Results from hedonic property value models suggest that the amenity values of refuges located near urbanized areas are capitalized into the value of homes in very close proximity, averaging $11 million per refuge. These capitalized values add directly to the local tax base and are considerable complements to the annual economic value created by the refuge system.



Working Papers (click for Abstract and .pdf)

A Hedonic Analysis of Urban Parks with Nonparametric Methods , with My Linh Nguyen.

Abstract: The hedonic housing model provides a theoretical framework that connects observed housing prices with nonmarket values for environmental or other location-specific goods, but the precise functional relationship is often unknown. Only with particular underlying preference structures do we see functional forms of the hedonic price function that conform to functions that can be estimated with linear regression techniques. Still, empirical research typically approximates the hedonic price function using transformed variables in a linear regression. We explore the use of more flexible estimation techniques, including spline and nonparametric regression, to better capture the form of the hedonic price function. Our empirical analysis uses housing transactions and public park space in Denver, CO to demonstrate potential misspecification in linear regression models and to demonstrate how spline and nonparametric regression provide a means of overcoming this issue. Results indicate economically significant differences in estimates for the marginal willingness to pay for public parks when relying on these more flexible approaches.



Work in Progress

Measurement-Error Bias from Spatial Variables

Teaching

University of Richmond

COURSES (click for description and Syllabus):

BUAD 202: Statistics for Business and Economics

Course Description: This course provides an introduction to applied statistics with business and economic applications. The course also covers basic implementation of statistical techniques and data analysis in Microsoft Excel. Topics include descriptive statistics, probability, inference, and linear regression.


ECON 270: Introductory Econometrics

Course Description: This course is an introduction to empirical work in economics using multiple linear regression, with a focus on both theory and application. Topics include basic hypothesis testing, estimation and interpretation of linear regression, statistical inference, ordinary least squares assumptions, dummy variables and function form, and violations of assumptions and corrective measures. A component of the course also includes coding regression analysis in the statistical software R.


ECON 370: Advanced Econometrics

Course Description: This course explores econometric models beyond the standard multiple linear regression model. Topics include panel data techniques, quantitative response models, nonparametric analysis, regression splines, instrumental variables, regression discontinuity, and synthetic controls. Analysis in the statistical software R is a core component of the course.


ECON 230: Environmental Economics

Course Description: This is an introductory course to environmental economics that builds a general framework for thinking about environmental problems from the perspective of economic analysis. We apply economic principles to understand some of the causes of environmental issues and to explore potential solutions. The course involves a moderate focus on environmental policy. We look at specific applications, including air pollution, water pollution, land degradation, biodiversity, and climate change. Topics include externalities and public goods, nonmarket valuation, emissions taxes, tradeable emissions permits, and energy production.


ECON 330: Environmental and Natural Resource Economic Theory

Course Description: This course provides a rigorous treatment of environmental and resource economics. The course builds off of intermediate microeconomic theory, as we explore theoretical models and results as well as empirical applications. Topics include allocation of public goods, market-based approaches to pollution control, regulation under uncertainty, nonmarket valuation, and management of nonrenewable and renewable resources.


Contact Information

Postal Address
Department of Economics
Robins School of Business
University of Richmond
102 UR Drive
Richmond, VA 23173

Office Information
Office: Robins School of Business (BUS) 250

Email
thamilt2@richmond.edu

Telephone
+1 804-287-1815