CIVIL
DEFENSE: THE JOHNSON ADMINISTRATION: United States. 1963-1968. When Vice President Lyndon Johnson was sworn in as President he
inherited a significantly strengthened civil defense program, but one that still
faced an on-going battle for Congressional approval both of essential program
doctrine and strategy and program funding.
Initially Secretary of Defense Robert McNamara’s statements in January
and February of 1964 before Congressional Armed Services Committees and Defense
Appropriations Subcommittees appeared to advocate a significant increase in the
role of civil defense from the Kennedy stance of civil defense as an insurance
policy to one of an integral part of the United States’ defense posture. Secretary McNamara suggested that the
contribution of a well designed fallout shelter program could contribute more
to saving lives in a nuclear war that either strategic offensive or strategic
defensive forces.
However,
this early advocacy did not translate into effective political action when it
would have had the greatest impact. In
December 1963, continuing into early 1964, Senator Henry Jackson’s Senate Armed
Services Subcommittee conducted hearings on the proposed civil defense
legislation passed previously by the House as HR 8200. Although a variety of peace and religious
groups appeared opposing the legislation, the tenor of the Subcommittee seemed
supportive of eventual passage.
However, Senator Jackson, believing that the Administration might not be
in full support of the bill, deferred action until he received clear
indications that the President desired its passage – by the time of the markup
session of the Subcommittee in March no such indication was received. To put the best face possible on the lack of
Presidential support and to preserve agency morale Director Pittman drafted a
statement, signed by Senator Jackson, that linked deferral of the bill to the
need to further study the linkage between the shelter program and ballistic
missile defense.
Ballistic
missile defense and fallout shelters were legitimately linked in national
defensive strategy; Secretary McNamara so stated in testimony as early as
February 6, 1963, and he reiterated this position in budget language in Fiscal
Years (FY) 1964 and 1965. Although
anti-ballistic missile defenses using Nike Zeus missiles could theoretically
stop intercontinental ballistic missile attacks on cities, the opponent intent on
countervalue strikes could detonate ground bursts in undefended areas upwind of
urban centers and simply wait for massive radiation doses to do the job. Therefore, Secretary McNamara stressed that
active defenses should not be constructed unless a shelter system was also
constructed. Although this appears to
make complete sense as a defensive strategy, it may have also reflected an
astute political stratagem. Secretary
McNamara appears to have been concerned about the operational reliability of
the anti-ballistic missile system, problems in its development program,
escalating program costs, and the role of ballistic missile defense in national
strategy. In particular he expressed
concerns that the development and deployment of a successful ballistic missile
defense would stimulate an arms race involving United States and Soviet
defensive and offensive systems. Given
these concerns, finding a way to delay the fielding of the Nike Zeus, in spite
of strong support for the program from a variety of interest groups, may have
been a priority. The best way to slow
down and eventually kill the anti-ballistic missile defense program may have
been to continue to publicly advocate civil defense as a prerequisite for
missile deployment, knowing full well that legislation funding the civil
defense program would never be passed.
March
1964 was not a good month for the civil defense program. On March 2nd, the Jackson Subcommittee
deferred further action on sheltering.
Several days later Director Pittman resigned to return to private
practice, to be replaced by William P. Durkee, a career government
official. On March 31st the Office of
Civil Defense was reassigned from the Department of Defense to the Department
of the Army. Although there were public
protestations that this did not reflect a downgrading of the importance of
civil defense, any experienced watcher of the operations of bureaucracies
immediately drew the obvious conclusion that it was a significant cut in
prestige and in the ability to effectively articulate programs. The suspicious observer would have
undoubtedly noted that the combination of these events, and the resulting
organizational turbulence, immediately prior to Appropriations Committee
appearances in April through June could only have been calculated to ensure the
demise of any effective program.
Without
a clear mandate, and with clear signals of lack of Administration support, the
civil defense budget request for $358 million was swiftly cut to $105.2
million. This started a downward
funding spiral, until in the last year of the Administration the civil defense
budget request bottomed at $77.3 million, with Congress approving $60.5
million. In this environment, the civil
defense staff was forced to start to examine other programmatic options to
retain some civil defense capability.
Planning was refocused on civil defense programs that could be developed
with minimal cost and then held in readiness for implementation during a
developing crisis. Of course, such
programs had significant limitations.
There was no guarantee that a crisis would develop in a measured and
orderly way, allowing time for the implementation of programs that existed only
as planning documents and instructions.
And, in a nuclear crisis, the same arguments that applied to evacuation
would apply to sudden implementation of civil defense – it would be seen as a
destabilizing action that signaled the start of war preparations, inviting a
preemptive strike by the Soviet Union (there is a long history of such
mobilizations creating an irreversible slide to war of which World War I may be
the best, but not only, example).
Civil
defense in the Johnson administration was clearly the victim of forces
unrelated to its potential value in the event of a nuclear war, or even an
accidental or irrational exchange. As
the Administration’s term progressed, the increasing demands of the Vietnam War
consumed the attention of the Administration, and the costs of the War, along
with Congressional desires for governmental economy, relegated population
protection to a low priority. The
growth of resistance to the War created a forum in which any attempt to defend
America was attacked by peace, religious, and student groups as being
fundamentally evil and a intentional stepping stone to nuclear holocaust; the
Administration may simply have seen civil defense as too difficult to advocate
in this environment. Finally, the
change in nuclear war fighting strategy to Mutually Assured Destruction,
holding the United States population hostage to Soviet nuclear attack as a
reassurance that the United States would never attack the Soviet Union, created
a strategic environment in which civil defense was seen as destabilizing to a
dangerous degree.
Blanchard,
B. Wayne, American Civil Defense 1945-1984: The Evolution of Programs and Policies,
Washington, DC, U. S. Government Printing Office, 1986. Dowling, John, “FEMA: Programs, problems,
and accomplishments,” in John Dowling and Evans M. Harrell, editors, Civil
Defense: A Choice of Disasters, New York, NY, American Institute of Physics,
1987, pp. 33-45. Vale, Lawrence J., The
Limits of Civil Defence in the USA, Switzerland, Britain and the Soviet Union,
New York, NY, St. Martin’s Press, 1987.
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